**Forecast models and official guidance from Météo-France have positioned 17°C as the expected overnight or early-morning minimum for Paris on August 6, 2026, driving the 73.5% market-implied probability.** This aligns with a brief cooler spell following warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and daytime highs near 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 14–16°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including northerly flow and reduced cloud cover, support a slightly elevated minimum near 17°C. Model consensus remains tight on this threshold, with limited divergence expected before the daily minimum is recorded; any shift would require an unexpected surge in cloudiness or a change in wind direction. Upcoming official observations from Paris stations will determine resolution, keeping trader focus on real-time temperature trends through the night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 6 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 6 de agosto?
17°C 93.3%
16°C 3%
13°C 2%
15°C 2%
$22,278 Vol.
$22,278 Vol.
6 ago 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
93%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
17°C 93.3%
16°C 3%
13°C 2%
15°C 2%
$22,278 Vol.
$22,278 Vol.
6 ago 2026
12°C o menos
$738 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$327 Vol.
2%
14°C
$1,627 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,656 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1,431 Vol.
3%
17°C
$5,002 Vol.
93%
18°C
$3,121 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,300 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,611 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,529 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$936 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Météo-France have positioned 17°C as the expected overnight or early-morning minimum for Paris on August 6, 2026, driving the 73.5% market-implied probability.** This aligns with a brief cooler spell following warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and daytime highs near 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 14–16°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including northerly flow and reduced cloud cover, support a slightly elevated minimum near 17°C.
Model consensus remains tight on this threshold, with limited divergence expected before the daily minimum is recorded; any shift would require an unexpected surge in cloudiness or a change in wind direction. Upcoming official observations from Paris stations will determine resolution, keeping trader focus on real-time temperature trends through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$22,278Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Météo-France have positioned 17°C as the expected overnight or early-morning minimum for Paris on August 6, 2026, driving the 73.5% market-implied probability.** This aligns with a brief cooler spell following warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and daytime highs near 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 14–16°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including northerly flow and reduced cloud cover, support a slightly elevated minimum near 17°C.
Model consensus remains tight on this threshold, with limited divergence expected before the daily minimum is recorded; any shift would require an unexpected surge in cloudiness or a change in wind direction. Upcoming official observations from Paris stations will determine resolution, keeping trader focus on real-time temperature trends through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22,278Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from Météo-France have positioned 17°C as the expected overnight or early-morning minimum for Paris on August 6, 2026, driving the 73.5% market-implied probability.** This aligns with a brief cooler spell following warmer conditions earlier in the week, with largely sunny skies and daytime highs near 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 14–16°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including northerly flow and reduced cloud cover, support a slightly elevated minimum near 17°C. Model consensus remains tight on this threshold, with limited divergence expected before the daily minimum is recorded; any shift would require an unexpected surge in cloudiness or a change in wind direction. Upcoming official observations from Paris stations will determine resolution, keeping trader focus on real-time temperature trends through the night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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