Market-implied odds center on 28°C (46%) and 29°C (32%) as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from regional models projecting overnight minima of 27–29°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This pattern sustains elevated readings through high humidity above 70% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent observations of 28°C lows. Typical August climatology features average lows near 25–26°C, but current steering patterns and lack of stronger frontal intrusions support the warmer outcome. Traders monitor updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite trends ahead of the 24-hour window for any shifts in moisture or wind fields that could alter minima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 8 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 8 de agosto?
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
26°C 15%
27°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
10%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C o más
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
26°C 15%
27°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$232 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$81 Vol.
1%
24°C
$177 Vol.
1%
25°C
$167 Vol.
2%
26°C
$157 Vol.
15%
27°C
$185 Vol.
10%
28°C
$937 Vol.
44%
29°C
$2,264 Vol.
30%
30°C
$681 Vol.
6%
31°C
$220 Vol.
1%
32°C o más
$106 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds center on 28°C (46%) and 29°C (32%) as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from regional models projecting overnight minima of 27–29°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This pattern sustains elevated readings through high humidity above 70% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent observations of 28°C lows. Typical August climatology features average lows near 25–26°C, but current steering patterns and lack of stronger frontal intrusions support the warmer outcome. Traders monitor updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite trends ahead of the 24-hour window for any shifts in moisture or wind fields that could alter minima.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$5,208Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds center on 28°C (46%) and 29°C (32%) as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from regional models projecting overnight minima of 27–29°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This pattern sustains elevated readings through high humidity above 70% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent observations of 28°C lows. Typical August climatology features average lows near 25–26°C, but current steering patterns and lack of stronger frontal intrusions support the warmer outcome. Traders monitor updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite trends ahead of the 24-hour window for any shifts in moisture or wind fields that could alter minima.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,208Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds center on 28°C (46%) and 29°C (32%) as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus from regional models projecting overnight minima of 27–29°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This pattern sustains elevated readings through high humidity above 70% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent observations of 28°C lows. Typical August climatology features average lows near 25–26°C, but current steering patterns and lack of stronger frontal intrusions support the warmer outcome. Traders monitor updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite trends ahead of the 24-hour window for any shifts in moisture or wind fields that could alter minima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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