Recent forecast model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles point to overnight lows near 17–18°C in Paris on August 9 amid a warming high-pressure pattern following earlier heatwave conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor radiative cooling after daytime highs potentially exceeding 30°C, while urban heat-island effects and residual moisture may limit further drops. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 15–18°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus narrow the range, explaining tight market-implied odds around those thresholds. Updated runs and Météo-France briefings tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before official observations resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 9 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 9 de agosto?
18°C 33%
17°C 30%
19°C 21%
16°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
14°C o menos
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
30%
18°C
33%
19°C
21%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
18°C 33%
17°C 30%
19°C 21%
16°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
14°C o menos
$69 Vol.
1%
15°C
$137 Vol.
2%
16°C
$275 Vol.
11%
17°C
$177 Vol.
30%
18°C
$342 Vol.
33%
19°C
$240 Vol.
21%
20°C
$83 Vol.
5%
21°C
$127 Vol.
5%
22°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$592 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles point to overnight lows near 17–18°C in Paris on August 9 amid a warming high-pressure pattern following earlier heatwave conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor radiative cooling after daytime highs potentially exceeding 30°C, while urban heat-island effects and residual moisture may limit further drops. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 15–18°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus narrow the range, explaining tight market-implied odds around those thresholds. Updated runs and Météo-France briefings tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,538Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles point to overnight lows near 17–18°C in Paris on August 9 amid a warming high-pressure pattern following earlier heatwave conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor radiative cooling after daytime highs potentially exceeding 30°C, while urban heat-island effects and residual moisture may limit further drops. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 15–18°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus narrow the range, explaining tight market-implied odds around those thresholds. Updated runs and Météo-France briefings tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,538Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles point to overnight lows near 17–18°C in Paris on August 9 amid a warming high-pressure pattern following earlier heatwave conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor radiative cooling after daytime highs potentially exceeding 30°C, while urban heat-island effects and residual moisture may limit further drops. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 15–18°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus narrow the range, explaining tight market-implied odds around those thresholds. Updated runs and Météo-France briefings tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before official observations resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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