Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models show Paris transitioning from early-August heatwave conditions and scattered thunderstorms toward clearer, more stable high-pressure influence by August 8, supporting overnight minimums clustered near 14–15°C. Clear or partly cloudy skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds and moderate humidity limit further drops; urban heat-island effects in central Paris add a small warming bias compared with rural stations. Model ensembles display modest spread in low-level temperature and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 13°C and 16°C plausible but less favored. Traders therefore concentrate probability on the narrow 14–15°C band, reflecting the balance between seasonal August climatology (typical lows 14–16°C) and the specific synoptic evolution expected over the next 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 8 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 8 de agosto?
14°C 40%
15°C 35%
17°C 14%
13°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 ago 2026
11°C o menos
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
12%
14°C
40%
15°C
35%
16°C
10%
17°C
14%
18°C
11%
19°C
8%
20°C
5%
21°C o más
2%
14°C 40%
15°C 35%
17°C 14%
13°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 ago 2026
11°C o menos
$10 Vol.
9%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
12%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
35%
16°C
$5 Vol.
10%
17°C
$27 Vol.
14%
18°C
$250 Vol.
11%
19°C
$254 Vol.
8%
20°C
$10 Vol.
5%
21°C o más
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models show Paris transitioning from early-August heatwave conditions and scattered thunderstorms toward clearer, more stable high-pressure influence by August 8, supporting overnight minimums clustered near 14–15°C. Clear or partly cloudy skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds and moderate humidity limit further drops; urban heat-island effects in central Paris add a small warming bias compared with rural stations. Model ensembles display modest spread in low-level temperature and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 13°C and 16°C plausible but less favored. Traders therefore concentrate probability on the narrow 14–15°C band, reflecting the balance between seasonal August climatology (typical lows 14–16°C) and the specific synoptic evolution expected over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$566Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models show Paris transitioning from early-August heatwave conditions and scattered thunderstorms toward clearer, more stable high-pressure influence by August 8, supporting overnight minimums clustered near 14–15°C. Clear or partly cloudy skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds and moderate humidity limit further drops; urban heat-island effects in central Paris add a small warming bias compared with rural stations. Model ensembles display modest spread in low-level temperature and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 13°C and 16°C plausible but less favored. Traders therefore concentrate probability on the narrow 14–15°C band, reflecting the balance between seasonal August climatology (typical lows 14–16°C) and the specific synoptic evolution expected over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$566Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models show Paris transitioning from early-August heatwave conditions and scattered thunderstorms toward clearer, more stable high-pressure influence by August 8, supporting overnight minimums clustered near 14–15°C. Clear or partly cloudy skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds and moderate humidity limit further drops; urban heat-island effects in central Paris add a small warming bias compared with rural stations. Model ensembles display modest spread in low-level temperature and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 13°C and 16°C plausible but less favored. Traders therefore concentrate probability on the narrow 14–15°C band, reflecting the balance between seasonal August climatology (typical lows 14–16°C) and the specific synoptic evolution expected over the next 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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