Traders have converged on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded exactly that overnight low amid typical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and a stable subtropical ridge kept temperatures from dropping further, consistent with climatological averages for early August where nighttime minima usually range 26–28°C. With the trading day now past and data verified, the 100% implied probability reflects near-certain resolution at this threshold. Only an unprecedented revision in official station readings or redefinition of the measurement window could alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 8 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 8 de agosto?
28°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$101,520 Vol.
$101,520 Vol.
8 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
28°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$101,520 Vol.
$101,520 Vol.
8 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$598 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,214 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,298 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$11,517 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,954 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15,226 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$28,571 Vol.
100%
29°C
$26,190 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,374 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$641 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded exactly that overnight low amid typical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and a stable subtropical ridge kept temperatures from dropping further, consistent with climatological averages for early August where nighttime minima usually range 26–28°C. With the trading day now past and data verified, the 100% implied probability reflects near-certain resolution at this threshold. Only an unprecedented revision in official station readings or redefinition of the measurement window could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$101,520Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded exactly that overnight low amid typical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and a stable subtropical ridge kept temperatures from dropping further, consistent with climatological averages for early August where nighttime minima usually range 26–28°C. With the trading day now past and data verified, the 100% implied probability reflects near-certain resolution at this threshold. Only an unprecedented revision in official station readings or redefinition of the measurement window could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$101,520Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded exactly that overnight low amid typical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and a stable subtropical ridge kept temperatures from dropping further, consistent with climatological averages for early August where nighttime minima usually range 26–28°C. With the trading day now past and data verified, the 100% implied probability reflects near-certain resolution at this threshold. Only an unprecedented revision in official station readings or redefinition of the measurement window could alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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