**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31–32°C as the most likely range for the September 24 high**, with easterly winds around force 4 and mainly fine conditions featuring morning and evening cloud. Multiple international models align on this outcome amid moderating northeast monsoon flow that favors subsidence and limited moisture, keeping rain chances low. Late-September climatology supports highs near 30–31°C on average, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but remains well below extreme thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread and low uncertainty from the 9-day outlook, while noting that any overnight model revisions or unexpected convective development could nudge the realized maximum toward 33°C or cap it at 30°C. The market will resolve on official Observatory observations tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 24 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 24 de septiembre?
32°C 45%
31°C 28%
33°C 17%
30°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
28%
32°C
45%
33°C
17%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 28%
33°C 17%
30°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$65 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$162 Vol.
2%
30°C
$622 Vol.
15%
31°C
$274 Vol.
28%
32°C
$1,523 Vol.
45%
33°C
$960 Vol.
17%
34°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$226 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31–32°C as the most likely range for the September 24 high**, with easterly winds around force 4 and mainly fine conditions featuring morning and evening cloud. Multiple international models align on this outcome amid moderating northeast monsoon flow that favors subsidence and limited moisture, keeping rain chances low. Late-September climatology supports highs near 30–31°C on average, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but remains well below extreme thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread and low uncertainty from the 9-day outlook, while noting that any overnight model revisions or unexpected convective development could nudge the realized maximum toward 33°C or cap it at 30°C. The market will resolve on official Observatory observations tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,418Fecha de finalización
24 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31–32°C as the most likely range for the September 24 high**, with easterly winds around force 4 and mainly fine conditions featuring morning and evening cloud. Multiple international models align on this outcome amid moderating northeast monsoon flow that favors subsidence and limited moisture, keeping rain chances low. Late-September climatology supports highs near 30–31°C on average, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but remains well below extreme thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread and low uncertainty from the 9-day outlook, while noting that any overnight model revisions or unexpected convective development could nudge the realized maximum toward 33°C or cap it at 30°C. The market will resolve on official Observatory observations tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,418Fecha de finalización
24 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31–32°C as the most likely range for the September 24 high**, with easterly winds around force 4 and mainly fine conditions featuring morning and evening cloud. Multiple international models align on this outcome amid moderating northeast monsoon flow that favors subsidence and limited moisture, keeping rain chances low. Late-September climatology supports highs near 30–31°C on average, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but remains well below extreme thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread and low uncertainty from the 9-day outlook, while noting that any overnight model revisions or unexpected convective development could nudge the realized maximum toward 33°C or cap it at 30°C. The market will resolve on official Observatory observations tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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