Recent model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office and regional forecasts points to a southerly airflow over Wellington on September 23, 2026, suppressing daytime highs to around 11°C amid increased cloud cover and winds of 20+ mph. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for an 11°C maximum, as spring climatology (average highs near 14°C) yields to cooler Antarctic air masses. Nearby 10–12°C outcomes hold secondary support at 17.5–18.5% amid minor model spread on exact timing of the change. Updated runs from MetService or GFS/ECMWF ensembles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the 24-hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 23 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 23 de septiembre?
11°C 55%
12°C 39%
13°C 28%
8°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
5°C o menos
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
5%
8°C
25%
9°C
10%
10°C
15%
11°C
55%
12°C
39%
13°C
28%
14°C
13%
15°C o más
3%
11°C 55%
12°C 39%
13°C 28%
8°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
5°C o menos
$58 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$5 Vol.
5%
8°C
$5 Vol.
25%
9°C
$10 Vol.
10%
10°C
$5 Vol.
15%
11°C
$121 Vol.
55%
12°C
$10 Vol.
39%
13°C
$5 Vol.
28%
14°C
$5 Vol.
13%
15°C o más
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office and regional forecasts points to a southerly airflow over Wellington on September 23, 2026, suppressing daytime highs to around 11°C amid increased cloud cover and winds of 20+ mph. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for an 11°C maximum, as spring climatology (average highs near 14°C) yields to cooler Antarctic air masses. Nearby 10–12°C outcomes hold secondary support at 17.5–18.5% amid minor model spread on exact timing of the change. Updated runs from MetService or GFS/ECMWF ensembles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$245Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office and regional forecasts points to a southerly airflow over Wellington on September 23, 2026, suppressing daytime highs to around 11°C amid increased cloud cover and winds of 20+ mph. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for an 11°C maximum, as spring climatology (average highs near 14°C) yields to cooler Antarctic air masses. Nearby 10–12°C outcomes hold secondary support at 17.5–18.5% amid minor model spread on exact timing of the change. Updated runs from MetService or GFS/ECMWF ensembles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$245Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office and regional forecasts points to a southerly airflow over Wellington on September 23, 2026, suppressing daytime highs to around 11°C amid increased cloud cover and winds of 20+ mph. This aligns with the market's leading 55.5% implied probability for an 11°C maximum, as spring climatology (average highs near 14°C) yields to cooler Antarctic air masses. Nearby 10–12°C outcomes hold secondary support at 17.5–18.5% amid minor model spread on exact timing of the change. Updated runs from MetService or GFS/ECMWF ensembles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the 24-hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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