Recent official forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate Tel Aviv maximum temperatures on September 21 will peak near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and mostly clear skies with minimal cloud cover. This near-even split in market-implied odds reflects genuine model spread in peak heating, where small differences in afternoon wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily high across the threshold. September climatology places average highs around 29°C, so current conditions sit slightly above baseline but lack strong anomalous drivers that would push probabilities decisively higher or lower. Final resolution hinges on the Israel Meteorological Service’s verified observation, with traders weighting the latest model consensus and any last-hour updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 21 de septiembre?
31°C 52%
30°C 47%
32°C 5%
34°C <1%
NUEVO
$16,847 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,847 Vol.
21 sep 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
47%
31°C
52%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
31°C 52%
30°C 47%
32°C 5%
34°C <1%
NUEVO
$16,847 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,847 Vol.
21 sep 2026
27°C o menos
$239 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,455 Vol.
47%
31°C
$4,979 Vol.
52%
32°C
$3,061 Vol.
5%
33°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$257 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
37°C o más
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate Tel Aviv maximum temperatures on September 21 will peak near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and mostly clear skies with minimal cloud cover. This near-even split in market-implied odds reflects genuine model spread in peak heating, where small differences in afternoon wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily high across the threshold. September climatology places average highs around 29°C, so current conditions sit slightly above baseline but lack strong anomalous drivers that would push probabilities decisively higher or lower. Final resolution hinges on the Israel Meteorological Service’s verified observation, with traders weighting the latest model consensus and any last-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$16,847Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate Tel Aviv maximum temperatures on September 21 will peak near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and mostly clear skies with minimal cloud cover. This near-even split in market-implied odds reflects genuine model spread in peak heating, where small differences in afternoon wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily high across the threshold. September climatology places average highs around 29°C, so current conditions sit slightly above baseline but lack strong anomalous drivers that would push probabilities decisively higher or lower. Final resolution hinges on the Israel Meteorological Service’s verified observation, with traders weighting the latest model consensus and any last-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,847Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate Tel Aviv maximum temperatures on September 21 will peak near 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and mostly clear skies with minimal cloud cover. This near-even split in market-implied odds reflects genuine model spread in peak heating, where small differences in afternoon wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily high across the threshold. September climatology places average highs around 29°C, so current conditions sit slightly above baseline but lack strong anomalous drivers that would push probabilities decisively higher or lower. Final resolution hinges on the Israel Meteorological Service’s verified observation, with traders weighting the latest model consensus and any last-hour updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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