Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and GFS-based models project a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 20, driven by typical late-summer moisture, light variable winds shifting southeast, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms with 60-70% probability. These conditions often cap daytime peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical September averages near 88-89°F while limiting outliers above 90°F. Recent model runs show stable consensus without major shifts, positioning the 88-89°F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, followed by 86-87°F. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential brief clearing for higher readings and thunderstorm timing that could suppress the maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 20 de septiembre?
88-89°F 40%
86-87°F 30%
90-91°F 23%
84-85°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
77°F o menos
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
40%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F o más
<1%
88-89°F 40%
86-87°F 30%
90-91°F 23%
84-85°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
77°F o menos
$200 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$137 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$252 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$183 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$422 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$680 Vol.
30%
88-89°F
$437 Vol.
40%
90-91°F
$2,000 Vol.
23%
92-93°F
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$197 Vol.
<1%
96°F o más
$285 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and GFS-based models project a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 20, driven by typical late-summer moisture, light variable winds shifting southeast, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms with 60-70% probability. These conditions often cap daytime peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical September averages near 88-89°F while limiting outliers above 90°F. Recent model runs show stable consensus without major shifts, positioning the 88-89°F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, followed by 86-87°F. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential brief clearing for higher readings and thunderstorm timing that could suppress the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,923Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and GFS-based models project a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 20, driven by typical late-summer moisture, light variable winds shifting southeast, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms with 60-70% probability. These conditions often cap daytime peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical September averages near 88-89°F while limiting outliers above 90°F. Recent model runs show stable consensus without major shifts, positioning the 88-89°F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, followed by 86-87°F. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential brief clearing for higher readings and thunderstorm timing that could suppress the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,923Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and GFS-based models project a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 20, driven by typical late-summer moisture, light variable winds shifting southeast, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms with 60-70% probability. These conditions often cap daytime peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with historical September averages near 88-89°F while limiting outliers above 90°F. Recent model runs show stable consensus without major shifts, positioning the 88-89°F bin as the market leader at 40.5% implied probability, followed by 86-87°F. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential brief clearing for higher readings and thunderstorm timing that could suppress the maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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