Persistent southerly flow and a strong mid-level ridge have maintained an unseasonably warm airmass over central Texas, supporting overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs converge on minimum temperatures of 75–77 °F, with limited radiational cooling expected under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This outlook explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 72–75 °F bins. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on small forecast variations in cloud cover, dew-point advection, and any late-day shower activity that could modestly enhance cooling. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing whether the low settles near 74 °F or edges lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Austin el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Austin el 21 de septiembre?
70-71°F 36%
76-77°F 36%
72-73°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
67°F o menos
11%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
36%
78-79 °F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86°F o más
4%
70-71°F 36%
76-77°F 36%
72-73°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
67°F o menos
$0 Vol.
11%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
36%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
36%
78-79 °F
$0 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
11%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
5%
86°F o más
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and a strong mid-level ridge have maintained an unseasonably warm airmass over central Texas, supporting overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs converge on minimum temperatures of 75–77 °F, with limited radiational cooling expected under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This outlook explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 72–75 °F bins. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on small forecast variations in cloud cover, dew-point advection, and any late-day shower activity that could modestly enhance cooling. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing whether the low settles near 74 °F or edges lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and a strong mid-level ridge have maintained an unseasonably warm airmass over central Texas, supporting overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs converge on minimum temperatures of 75–77 °F, with limited radiational cooling expected under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This outlook explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 72–75 °F bins. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on small forecast variations in cloud cover, dew-point advection, and any late-day shower activity that could modestly enhance cooling. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing whether the low settles near 74 °F or edges lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and a strong mid-level ridge have maintained an unseasonably warm airmass over central Texas, supporting overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs converge on minimum temperatures of 75–77 °F, with limited radiational cooling expected under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This outlook explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 72–75 °F bins. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on small forecast variations in cloud cover, dew-point advection, and any late-day shower activity that could modestly enhance cooling. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing whether the low settles near 74 °F or edges lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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