Trader sentiment for Austin's minimum temperature on September 20 reflects National Weather Service short-range model consensus pointing to overnight lows near 71°F under typical late-summer high pressure and light winds. The near-even split between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins arises from minor ensemble differences in boundary-layer cooling rates and dewpoint forecasts, with no strong frontal systems expected to alter the pattern. Historical September climatology shows average daily minima around 70°F, offering a stable baseline, while current soil moisture and humidity levels moderate the potential for sharper drops. Updated Global Forecast System runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Austin el 20 de septiembre?
68-69°F 39%
74-75°F 39%
70-71°F 30%
72-73°F 30%
65°F o menos
7%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
5%
84°F o más
5%
68-69°F 39%
74-75°F 39%
70-71°F 30%
72-73°F 30%
65°F o menos
7%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
5%
84°F o más
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Austin's minimum temperature on September 20 reflects National Weather Service short-range model consensus pointing to overnight lows near 71°F under typical late-summer high pressure and light winds. The near-even split between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins arises from minor ensemble differences in boundary-layer cooling rates and dewpoint forecasts, with no strong frontal systems expected to alter the pattern. Historical September climatology shows average daily minima around 70°F, offering a stable baseline, while current soil moisture and humidity levels moderate the potential for sharper drops. Updated Global Forecast System runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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