Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on September 18 indicate a maximum of 15°C under mostly fine conditions after morning scattered rain clears, with southerlies easing and light northerly winds developing. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 66% implied probability for 15°C, supported by model consensus showing daytime peaks near 14–15°C amid typical spring variability. Recent El Niño influences have produced greater temperature fluctuations and occasional warmer outbreaks across New Zealand, yet local observations and guidance place the day’s high within the narrow 14–16°C range. Updated forecast runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 18 de septiembre?
15°C 66%
14°C 19%
16°C 16%
13°C 2%
NUEVO
$12,558 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,558 Vol.
18 sep 2026
9°C o menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
19%
15°C
66%
16°C
16%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C o más
<1%
15°C 66%
14°C 19%
16°C 16%
13°C 2%
NUEVO
$12,558 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,558 Vol.
18 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$253 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$605 Vol.
1%
13°C
$880 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2,166 Vol.
19%
15°C
$3,557 Vol.
66%
16°C
$2,687 Vol.
16%
17°C
$820 Vol.
2%
18°C
$679 Vol.
<1%
19°C o más
$279 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on September 18 indicate a maximum of 15°C under mostly fine conditions after morning scattered rain clears, with southerlies easing and light northerly winds developing. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 66% implied probability for 15°C, supported by model consensus showing daytime peaks near 14–15°C amid typical spring variability. Recent El Niño influences have produced greater temperature fluctuations and occasional warmer outbreaks across New Zealand, yet local observations and guidance place the day’s high within the narrow 14–16°C range. Updated forecast runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$12,558Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on September 18 indicate a maximum of 15°C under mostly fine conditions after morning scattered rain clears, with southerlies easing and light northerly winds developing. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 66% implied probability for 15°C, supported by model consensus showing daytime peaks near 14–15°C amid typical spring variability. Recent El Niño influences have produced greater temperature fluctuations and occasional warmer outbreaks across New Zealand, yet local observations and guidance place the day’s high within the narrow 14–16°C range. Updated forecast runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,558Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on September 18 indicate a maximum of 15°C under mostly fine conditions after morning scattered rain clears, with southerlies easing and light northerly winds developing. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 66% implied probability for 15°C, supported by model consensus showing daytime peaks near 14–15°C amid typical spring variability. Recent El Niño influences have produced greater temperature fluctuations and occasional warmer outbreaks across New Zealand, yet local observations and guidance place the day’s high within the narrow 14–16°C range. Updated forecast runs and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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