Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 19 under sunny skies with minimal cloud cover and light southeast winds, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around the 96–101°F range. Clear conditions favor strong daytime solar heating and surface warming, while typical late-September dew points near 65–70°F could modestly elevate heat index values without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor differences among bins hinge on subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, steering flow, or the precise timing of any weak upper-level trough, which could shift the peak by 1–3°F. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely monitoring the next NWS update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for any adjustments to this consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 19 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 19 de septiembre?
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 29%
94-95°F 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
87°F o menos
5%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
21%
100-101°F
23%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
10%
106°F o más
6%
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 29%
94-95°F 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
87°F o menos
$0 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$17 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$20 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
29%
98-99°F
$58 Vol.
21%
100-101°F
$296 Vol.
23%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
17%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
10%
106°F o más
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 19 under sunny skies with minimal cloud cover and light southeast winds, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around the 96–101°F range. Clear conditions favor strong daytime solar heating and surface warming, while typical late-September dew points near 65–70°F could modestly elevate heat index values without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor differences among bins hinge on subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, steering flow, or the precise timing of any weak upper-level trough, which could shift the peak by 1–3°F. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely monitoring the next NWS update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for any adjustments to this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$391Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 19 under sunny skies with minimal cloud cover and light southeast winds, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around the 96–101°F range. Clear conditions favor strong daytime solar heating and surface warming, while typical late-September dew points near 65–70°F could modestly elevate heat index values without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor differences among bins hinge on subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, steering flow, or the precise timing of any weak upper-level trough, which could shift the peak by 1–3°F. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely monitoring the next NWS update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for any adjustments to this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$391Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on September 19 under sunny skies with minimal cloud cover and light southeast winds, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around the 96–101°F range. Clear conditions favor strong daytime solar heating and surface warming, while typical late-September dew points near 65–70°F could modestly elevate heat index values without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Minor differences among bins hinge on subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, steering flow, or the precise timing of any weak upper-level trough, which could shift the peak by 1–3°F. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely monitoring the next NWS update and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for any adjustments to this consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes