Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 20–21°C in Moscow on September 17 under southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting the tight clustering around the 20–22°C outcomes. Mild advection of warmer air from the south, combined with light-to-moderate winds (5–13 mph) and minimal cloud interference during peak heating hours, favors daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Low precipitation risk reduces cooling effects, while surface pressure trends remain steady. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 17 de septiembre?
22°C 40%
21°C 30%
20°C 25%
19°C 12%
15°C o menos
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
12%
20°C
25%
21°C
30%
22°C
26%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C o más
5%
22°C 40%
21°C 30%
20°C 25%
19°C 12%
15°C o menos
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
12%
20°C
25%
21°C
30%
22°C
26%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C o más
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 20–21°C in Moscow on September 17 under southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting the tight clustering around the 20–22°C outcomes. Mild advection of warmer air from the south, combined with light-to-moderate winds (5–13 mph) and minimal cloud interference during peak heating hours, favors daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Low precipitation risk reduces cooling effects, while surface pressure trends remain steady. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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