**Trader consensus has locked onto 31°C as the official highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 15, 2026.** This outcome aligns with real-time observations under a fresh northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence that produced partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70%, and isolated showers, allowing daytime temperatures to peak at 31°C—within the typical mid-September range for the region. Official forecasts from the Observatory and global models consistently pointed to highs of 30–32°C, with the actual maximum settling at the lower end of that band due to cloud cover limiting further warming. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects the finality of the Absolute Daily Max value once posted in the daily extract, leaving little room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-publication correction or data anomaly at the Observatory could realistically alter the resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 15 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 15 de septiembre?
31°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$126,307 Vol.
$126,307 Vol.
15 sep 2026
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
31°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$126,307 Vol.
$126,307 Vol.
15 sep 2026
30°C
$24,343 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$26,130 Vol.
100%
32°C
$19,776 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked onto 31°C as the official highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 15, 2026.** This outcome aligns with real-time observations under a fresh northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence that produced partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70%, and isolated showers, allowing daytime temperatures to peak at 31°C—within the typical mid-September range for the region. Official forecasts from the Observatory and global models consistently pointed to highs of 30–32°C, with the actual maximum settling at the lower end of that band due to cloud cover limiting further warming. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects the finality of the Absolute Daily Max value once posted in the daily extract, leaving little room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-publication correction or data anomaly at the Observatory could realistically alter the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volumen
$126,307Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked onto 31°C as the official highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 15, 2026.** This outcome aligns with real-time observations under a fresh northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence that produced partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70%, and isolated showers, allowing daytime temperatures to peak at 31°C—within the typical mid-September range for the region. Official forecasts from the Observatory and global models consistently pointed to highs of 30–32°C, with the actual maximum settling at the lower end of that band due to cloud cover limiting further warming. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects the finality of the Absolute Daily Max value once posted in the daily extract, leaving little room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-publication correction or data anomaly at the Observatory could realistically alter the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$126,307Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
**Trader consensus has locked onto 31°C as the official highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 15, 2026.** This outcome aligns with real-time observations under a fresh northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence that produced partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 70%, and isolated showers, allowing daytime temperatures to peak at 31°C—within the typical mid-September range for the region. Official forecasts from the Observatory and global models consistently pointed to highs of 30–32°C, with the actual maximum settling at the lower end of that band due to cloud cover limiting further warming. The near-100% market-implied probability reflects the finality of the Absolute Daily Max value once posted in the daily extract, leaving little room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-publication correction or data anomaly at the Observatory could realistically alter the resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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