Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to northerly flow and mostly clear skies supporting a daily maximum near 23–25°C in Buenos Aires on September 17, placing springtime temperatures slightly above the long-term average for mid-September. This alignment of steering patterns and radiative heating explains why market-implied probabilities cluster on 24°C (25%), 25°C (39%), and 26°C or higher (21.5%). Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for minor upward revisions if winds stay light and cloud cover stays minimal through peak heating hours; official resolution will use the highest verified reading from authorized stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 17 de septiembre?
25°C 39%
24°C 24%
26°C o más 22%
23°C 8%
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
24%
25°C
39%
26°C o más
22%
25°C 39%
24°C 24%
26°C o más 22%
23°C 8%
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
24%
25°C
39%
26°C o más
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to northerly flow and mostly clear skies supporting a daily maximum near 23–25°C in Buenos Aires on September 17, placing springtime temperatures slightly above the long-term average for mid-September. This alignment of steering patterns and radiative heating explains why market-implied probabilities cluster on 24°C (25%), 25°C (39%), and 26°C or higher (21.5%). Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for minor upward revisions if winds stay light and cloud cover stays minimal through peak heating hours; official resolution will use the highest verified reading from authorized stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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