Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a high of 31°C on September 16 under northeast monsoon flow, with mostly sunny skies, east winds at 4-5, and low rain chances after recent showers. This aligns with September climatology near 31°C and supports the market-implied 42.5% odds on 31°C and 29.5% on 30°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with drier, stable conditions reducing upside risk to 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance heavily while noting typical afternoon variability and potential for minor model revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 16 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 16 de septiembre?
31°C 43%
30°C 30%
32°C 17%
29°C 7%
NUEVO
$10,186 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,186 Vol.
16 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
30%
31°C
43%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C o más
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 30%
32°C 17%
29°C 7%
NUEVO
$10,186 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,186 Vol.
16 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$704 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$958 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$524 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,434 Vol.
7%
30°C
$1,205 Vol.
30%
31°C
$2,029 Vol.
43%
32°C
$1,351 Vol.
17%
33°C
$605 Vol.
3%
34°C
$464 Vol.
2%
35°C o más
$660 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a high of 31°C on September 16 under northeast monsoon flow, with mostly sunny skies, east winds at 4-5, and low rain chances after recent showers. This aligns with September climatology near 31°C and supports the market-implied 42.5% odds on 31°C and 29.5% on 30°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with drier, stable conditions reducing upside risk to 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance heavily while noting typical afternoon variability and potential for minor model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$10,186Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a high of 31°C on September 16 under northeast monsoon flow, with mostly sunny skies, east winds at 4-5, and low rain chances after recent showers. This aligns with September climatology near 31°C and supports the market-implied 42.5% odds on 31°C and 29.5% on 30°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with drier, stable conditions reducing upside risk to 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance heavily while noting typical afternoon variability and potential for minor model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,186Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a high of 31°C on September 16 under northeast monsoon flow, with mostly sunny skies, east winds at 4-5, and low rain chances after recent showers. This aligns with September climatology near 31°C and supports the market-implied 42.5% odds on 31°C and 29.5% on 30°C. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, with drier, stable conditions reducing upside risk to 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance heavily while noting typical afternoon variability and potential for minor model revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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