Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 15 high will likely reach 22–24°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, with scattered showers possible by afternoon. This mild pattern, warmer than the 19.3°C climatological average, stems from a transient ridge and limited Atlantic cooling, positioning 23°C as the modal outcome at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh GFS and ECMWF consensus showing peaks near 23–24°C against historical September variability and potential for earlier marine influence to cap readings at 22°C. No extreme heat signals or model divergence have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift sentiment toward higher or lower thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 15 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 15 de septiembre?
23°C 39%
24°C 27%
22°C 19%
25°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
19°C o menos
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
19%
23°C
39%
24°C
27%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C o más
2%
23°C 39%
24°C 27%
22°C 19%
25°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
19°C o menos
$39 Vol.
1%
20°C
$224 Vol.
5%
21°C
$43 Vol.
3%
22°C
$32 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$20 Vol.
3%
27°C
$10 Vol.
4%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C o más
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 15 high will likely reach 22–24°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, with scattered showers possible by afternoon. This mild pattern, warmer than the 19.3°C climatological average, stems from a transient ridge and limited Atlantic cooling, positioning 23°C as the modal outcome at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh GFS and ECMWF consensus showing peaks near 23–24°C against historical September variability and potential for earlier marine influence to cap readings at 22°C. No extreme heat signals or model divergence have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift sentiment toward higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volumen
$388Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 15 high will likely reach 22–24°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, with scattered showers possible by afternoon. This mild pattern, warmer than the 19.3°C climatological average, stems from a transient ridge and limited Atlantic cooling, positioning 23°C as the modal outcome at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh GFS and ECMWF consensus showing peaks near 23–24°C against historical September variability and potential for earlier marine influence to cap readings at 22°C. No extreme heat signals or model divergence have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift sentiment toward higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$388Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Amsterdam's September 15 high will likely reach 22–24°C under southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover, with scattered showers possible by afternoon. This mild pattern, warmer than the 19.3°C climatological average, stems from a transient ridge and limited Atlantic cooling, positioning 23°C as the modal outcome at 39% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh GFS and ECMWF consensus showing peaks near 23–24°C against historical September variability and potential for earlier marine influence to cap readings at 22°C. No extreme heat signals or model divergence have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift sentiment toward higher or lower thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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