Trader consensus on Guangzhou's September 15 minimum clusters tightly around 24–26°C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling and keep temperatures from falling sharply after daytime peaks of 32–34°C. Slight probability edges for 25–26°C versus 24°C reflect minor model differences in expected cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, while lower odds for 21°C or below align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would enable greater nocturnal drops in this subtropical setting. Updated observations tonight will resolve the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 15 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 15 de septiembre?
26°C 99%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
20°C o menos <1%
$1,093 Vol.
$1,093 Vol.
15 sep 2026
20°C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sí
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
26°C 99%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
20°C o menos <1%
$1,093 Vol.
$1,093 Vol.
15 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$22 Vol.
No
21°C
$10 Vol.
No
22°C
$26 Vol.
No
23°C
$149 Vol.
No
24°C
$121 Vol.
No
25°C
$84 Vol.
No
26°C
$252 Vol.
Sí
27°C
$250 Vol.
No
28°C
$137 Vol.
No
29°C
$16 Vol.
No
30°C o más
$26 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Guangzhou's September 15 minimum clusters tightly around 24–26°C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling and keep temperatures from falling sharply after daytime peaks of 32–34°C. Slight probability edges for 25–26°C versus 24°C reflect minor model differences in expected cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, while lower odds for 21°C or below align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would enable greater nocturnal drops in this subtropical setting. Updated observations tonight will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volumen
$1,093Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Guangzhou's September 15 minimum clusters tightly around 24–26°C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling and keep temperatures from falling sharply after daytime peaks of 32–34°C. Slight probability edges for 25–26°C versus 24°C reflect minor model differences in expected cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, while lower odds for 21°C or below align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would enable greater nocturnal drops in this subtropical setting. Updated observations tonight will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,093Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Guangzhou's September 15 minimum clusters tightly around 24–26°C because official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overnight lows near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling and keep temperatures from falling sharply after daytime peaks of 32–34°C. Slight probability edges for 25–26°C versus 24°C reflect minor model differences in expected cloud thickness and timing of any clearing, while lower odds for 21°C or below align with the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would enable greater nocturnal drops in this subtropical setting. Updated observations tonight will resolve the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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