Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 16 show overnight minimums stabilizing near 25°C, supported by high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling in the subtropical environment. This aligns with the market's leading 65.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C, while warmer outcomes cluster around 46% amid the typical September pattern of average lows near 24°C. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences are altering the baseline trajectory in recent observations, keeping cooler thresholds like 20°C or below at secondary market levels despite historical precedent for occasional dips. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight readings from local stations as the period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 16 de septiembre?
20°C o menos 92%
22°C 91%
23°C 91%
24°C 48%
20°C o menos
92%
21°C
18%
22°C
91%
23°C
91%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
20°C o menos 92%
22°C 91%
23°C 91%
24°C 48%
20°C o menos
92%
21°C
18%
22°C
91%
23°C
91%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 16 show overnight minimums stabilizing near 25°C, supported by high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling in the subtropical environment. This aligns with the market's leading 65.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C, while warmer outcomes cluster around 46% amid the typical September pattern of average lows near 24°C. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences are altering the baseline trajectory in recent observations, keeping cooler thresholds like 20°C or below at secondary market levels despite historical precedent for occasional dips. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight readings from local stations as the period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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