Latest forecast models from sources like Environment Canada and global ensembles point to a Toronto minimum around 16–17°C on September 17 under northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and modest moisture, keeping the night from cooling sharply. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 15–17°C outcomes while the elevated 38.5% implied probability on 21°C or higher reflects recent above-average September warmth (+3.5°C monthly departure) and potential model spread on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could limit overnight drops. Historical September 17 lows average 13.5°C, so current conditions represent a milder-than-normal setup with limited further cooling expected before dawn. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 17 de septiembre?
21°C o más 83%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
11°C o menos
9%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
27%
16°C
22%
17°C
19%
18°C
21%
19°C
39%
20°C
38%
21°C o más
83%
21°C o más 83%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
11°C o menos
$51 Vol.
9%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$79 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C o más
$0 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like Environment Canada and global ensembles point to a Toronto minimum around 16–17°C on September 17 under northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and modest moisture, keeping the night from cooling sharply. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 15–17°C outcomes while the elevated 38.5% implied probability on 21°C or higher reflects recent above-average September warmth (+3.5°C monthly departure) and potential model spread on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could limit overnight drops. Historical September 17 lows average 13.5°C, so current conditions represent a milder-than-normal setup with limited further cooling expected before dawn. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$130Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like Environment Canada and global ensembles point to a Toronto minimum around 16–17°C on September 17 under northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and modest moisture, keeping the night from cooling sharply. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 15–17°C outcomes while the elevated 38.5% implied probability on 21°C or higher reflects recent above-average September warmth (+3.5°C monthly departure) and potential model spread on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could limit overnight drops. Historical September 17 lows average 13.5°C, so current conditions represent a milder-than-normal setup with limited further cooling expected before dawn. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$130Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources like Environment Canada and global ensembles point to a Toronto minimum around 16–17°C on September 17 under northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and modest moisture, keeping the night from cooling sharply. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 15–17°C outcomes while the elevated 38.5% implied probability on 21°C or higher reflects recent above-average September warmth (+3.5°C monthly departure) and potential model spread on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could limit overnight drops. Historical September 17 lows average 13.5°C, so current conditions represent a milder-than-normal setup with limited further cooling expected before dawn. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes