Current forecasts for Manila on September 18 indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a high probability of scattered thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and localized convection typical of the southwest monsoon season. Historical September averages center on 30–32°C highs, with rain and thick cloud cover suppressing insolation and preventing stronger afternoon heating. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 32°C and 33°C as the tightest market-implied outcomes while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent an unexpected break in cloud cover or atypical steering patterns. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs will refine the precise peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 18 de septiembre?
32°C 24%
33°C 23%
31°C 22%
30°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
28°C o menos
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
22%
32°C
24%
33°C
23%
34°C
11%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
<1%
32°C 24%
33°C 23%
31°C 22%
30°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
28°C o menos
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$0 Vol.
23%
34°C
$0 Vol.
11%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$20 Vol.
1%
38°C o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Manila on September 18 indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a high probability of scattered thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and localized convection typical of the southwest monsoon season. Historical September averages center on 30–32°C highs, with rain and thick cloud cover suppressing insolation and preventing stronger afternoon heating. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 32°C and 33°C as the tightest market-implied outcomes while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent an unexpected break in cloud cover or atypical steering patterns. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Manila on September 18 indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a high probability of scattered thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and localized convection typical of the southwest monsoon season. Historical September averages center on 30–32°C highs, with rain and thick cloud cover suppressing insolation and preventing stronger afternoon heating. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 32°C and 33°C as the tightest market-implied outcomes while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent an unexpected break in cloud cover or atypical steering patterns. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Manila on September 18 indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a high probability of scattered thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and localized convection typical of the southwest monsoon season. Historical September averages center on 30–32°C highs, with rain and thick cloud cover suppressing insolation and preventing stronger afternoon heating. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 32°C and 33°C as the tightest market-implied outcomes while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent an unexpected break in cloud cover or atypical steering patterns. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs will refine the precise peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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