Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a daily minimum temperature in New York City of 70–72°F for September 18, 2026, reflecting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70–73°F range. Overnight observations showed temperatures holding in the low 70s under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds that limited radiational cooling. A warm air mass and dew points near 60°F have kept the boundary layer mild, consistent with recent days when Central Park lows stayed above seasonal normals. Limited cloud cover and breezy conditions through dawn are expected to prevent deeper drops, while any model spread centers on the exact timing of clearing rather than a major shift in the air mass. Updated National Weather Service guidance and real-time station readings will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 18 de septiembre?
72-73°F 45%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 13%
74-75°F 11%
61°F o menos
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
45%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
2%
78-79 °F
<1%
80°F o más
<1%
72-73°F 45%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 13%
74-75°F 11%
61°F o menos
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
45%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
2%
78-79 °F
<1%
80°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a daily minimum temperature in New York City of 70–72°F for September 18, 2026, reflecting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70–73°F range. Overnight observations showed temperatures holding in the low 70s under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds that limited radiational cooling. A warm air mass and dew points near 60°F have kept the boundary layer mild, consistent with recent days when Central Park lows stayed above seasonal normals. Limited cloud cover and breezy conditions through dawn are expected to prevent deeper drops, while any model spread centers on the exact timing of clearing rather than a major shift in the air mass. Updated National Weather Service guidance and real-time station readings will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes