National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 13 under clear skies, southerly winds of 5–15 mph, and dew points in the upper 60s that will push heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 100-101°F outcome at 65.5% implied probability, as persistent high pressure and dry conditions sustain the late-summer heat wave. The 98-99°F bin at 28.5% reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing or minor model spread, while probabilities above 102°F remain low given the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore how current ridging has elevated readings well above climatology, with traders weighting the latest GFS and NWS guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 13 de septiembre?
100-101°F 66%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 5%
96-97°F 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
66%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108°F o más
1%
100-101°F 66%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 5%
96-97°F 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
89°F o menos
$103 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$128 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$53 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$37 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$54 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$2,945 Vol.
29%
100-101°F
$1,050 Vol.
66%
102-103°F
$171 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$75 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$61 Vol.
1%
108°F o más
$218 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 13 under clear skies, southerly winds of 5–15 mph, and dew points in the upper 60s that will push heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 100-101°F outcome at 65.5% implied probability, as persistent high pressure and dry conditions sustain the late-summer heat wave. The 98-99°F bin at 28.5% reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing or minor model spread, while probabilities above 102°F remain low given the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore how current ridging has elevated readings well above climatology, with traders weighting the latest GFS and NWS guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,893Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 13 under clear skies, southerly winds of 5–15 mph, and dew points in the upper 60s that will push heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 100-101°F outcome at 65.5% implied probability, as persistent high pressure and dry conditions sustain the late-summer heat wave. The 98-99°F bin at 28.5% reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing or minor model spread, while probabilities above 102°F remain low given the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore how current ridging has elevated readings well above climatology, with traders weighting the latest GFS and NWS guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,893Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 13 under clear skies, southerly winds of 5–15 mph, and dew points in the upper 60s that will push heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 100-101°F outcome at 65.5% implied probability, as persistent high pressure and dry conditions sustain the late-summer heat wave. The 98-99°F bin at 28.5% reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing or minor model spread, while probabilities above 102°F remain low given the absence of stronger warm-air advection. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore how current ridging has elevated readings well above climatology, with traders weighting the latest GFS and NWS guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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