Short-term forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, keeping surface heating moderate amid typical late-summer subtropical moisture. Recent observations show highs holding in the low 30s amid light northeasterly flow and high humidity, consistent with climatological norms for the region where afternoon convection often caps peaks. The tight market spread between 31°C and 32°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the observed maximum by 1°C depending on when convection develops; lighter rain scenarios favor the higher end while heavier or earlier precipitation supports the lower. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 14 de septiembre?
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
29°C 18%
28°C 17%
25°C o menos
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
17%
29°C
18%
30°C
16%
31°C
30%
32°C
27%
33°C
13%
34°C
16%
35°C o más
8%
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
29°C 18%
28°C 17%
25°C o menos
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
17%
29°C
18%
30°C
16%
31°C
30%
32°C
27%
33°C
13%
34°C
16%
35°C o más
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, keeping surface heating moderate amid typical late-summer subtropical moisture. Recent observations show highs holding in the low 30s amid light northeasterly flow and high humidity, consistent with climatological norms for the region where afternoon convection often caps peaks. The tight market spread between 31°C and 32°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the observed maximum by 1°C depending on when convection develops; lighter rain scenarios favor the higher end while heavier or earlier precipitation supports the lower. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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