Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show maximum temperatures reaching 33–34°C on September 12, with multiple sites recording peaks near 33°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and northeast winds of 10–20 km/h. This aligns with model consensus for a daily high in the low 30s Celsius, typical for September under moderate humidity and limited solar heating due to cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 33°C reflects these verified measurements and low likelihood of further escalation. A shift to 34°C or higher remains possible only if final official tallies revise upward from isolated stations or if afternoon clearing intensifies insolation beyond current forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 12 de septiembre?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
35°C o más <1%
32°C <1%
$127,515 Vol.
$127,515 Vol.
12 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
35°C o más <1%
32°C <1%
$127,515 Vol.
$127,515 Vol.
12 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,821 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,702 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,232 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$36,954 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$25,089 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$27,103 Vol.
100%
34°C
$7,140 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show maximum temperatures reaching 33–34°C on September 12, with multiple sites recording peaks near 33°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and northeast winds of 10–20 km/h. This aligns with model consensus for a daily high in the low 30s Celsius, typical for September under moderate humidity and limited solar heating due to cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 33°C reflects these verified measurements and low likelihood of further escalation. A shift to 34°C or higher remains possible only if final official tallies revise upward from isolated stations or if afternoon clearing intensifies insolation beyond current forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$127,515Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show maximum temperatures reaching 33–34°C on September 12, with multiple sites recording peaks near 33°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and northeast winds of 10–20 km/h. This aligns with model consensus for a daily high in the low 30s Celsius, typical for September under moderate humidity and limited solar heating due to cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 33°C reflects these verified measurements and low likelihood of further escalation. A shift to 34°C or higher remains possible only if final official tallies revise upward from isolated stations or if afternoon clearing intensifies insolation beyond current forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$127,515Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show maximum temperatures reaching 33–34°C on September 12, with multiple sites recording peaks near 33°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and northeast winds of 10–20 km/h. This aligns with model consensus for a daily high in the low 30s Celsius, typical for September under moderate humidity and limited solar heating due to cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 33°C reflects these verified measurements and low likelihood of further escalation. A shift to 34°C or higher remains possible only if final official tallies revise upward from isolated stations or if afternoon clearing intensifies insolation beyond current forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes