Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a minimum temperature in the mid to upper 70s°F for Austin on September 14, driven by a warm, humid air mass with persistent southerly winds of 5–10 mph that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Partly cloudy skies overnight further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat near the surface, while dew points near 74°F sustain elevated overnight readings. Trader consensus clusters on 74–79°F outcomes because ensemble spreads in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty, with no approaching cold front or significant wind shift expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Historical September lows average around 68°F, underscoring how this setup favors above-normal minima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Austin el 14 de septiembre?
76-77°F 40%
84-85°F 40%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 39%
69°F o menos
17%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
40%
86-87 °F
16%
88°F o más
12%
76-77°F 40%
84-85°F 40%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 39%
69°F o menos
17%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
40%
86-87 °F
16%
88°F o más
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a minimum temperature in the mid to upper 70s°F for Austin on September 14, driven by a warm, humid air mass with persistent southerly winds of 5–10 mph that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Partly cloudy skies overnight further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat near the surface, while dew points near 74°F sustain elevated overnight readings. Trader consensus clusters on 74–79°F outcomes because ensemble spreads in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty, with no approaching cold front or significant wind shift expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Historical September lows average around 68°F, underscoring how this setup favors above-normal minima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes