Short-term temperature forecasts for Toronto on September 14 show substantial ensemble spread across major models, with minimums clustering near 6–12°C and reflecting the close market-implied odds around 50% for 6°C or below versus 46% for 12°C. Key drivers include the evolving position of the jet stream, potential high-pressure ridging, and the timing of any passing frontal systems, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical September variability in the region, combined with typical 2–4°C uncertainty ranges in 48-hour guidance from agencies like Environment Canada, sustains this balanced trader sentiment ahead of updated model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 14 de septiembre?
6°C o menos 100%
16°C o más 86%
12°C 46%
11°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
6°C o menos
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
38%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
46%
13°C
39%
14°C
38%
15°C
39%
16°C o más
86%
6°C o menos 100%
16°C o más 86%
12°C 46%
11°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
6°C o menos
$0 Vol.
100%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
38%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$12 Vol.
46%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C o más
$34 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term temperature forecasts for Toronto on September 14 show substantial ensemble spread across major models, with minimums clustering near 6–12°C and reflecting the close market-implied odds around 50% for 6°C or below versus 46% for 12°C. Key drivers include the evolving position of the jet stream, potential high-pressure ridging, and the timing of any passing frontal systems, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical September variability in the region, combined with typical 2–4°C uncertainty ranges in 48-hour guidance from agencies like Environment Canada, sustains this balanced trader sentiment ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$46Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term temperature forecasts for Toronto on September 14 show substantial ensemble spread across major models, with minimums clustering near 6–12°C and reflecting the close market-implied odds around 50% for 6°C or below versus 46% for 12°C. Key drivers include the evolving position of the jet stream, potential high-pressure ridging, and the timing of any passing frontal systems, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical September variability in the region, combined with typical 2–4°C uncertainty ranges in 48-hour guidance from agencies like Environment Canada, sustains this balanced trader sentiment ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$46Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term temperature forecasts for Toronto on September 14 show substantial ensemble spread across major models, with minimums clustering near 6–12°C and reflecting the close market-implied odds around 50% for 6°C or below versus 46% for 12°C. Key drivers include the evolving position of the jet stream, potential high-pressure ridging, and the timing of any passing frontal systems, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical September variability in the region, combined with typical 2–4°C uncertainty ranges in 48-hour guidance from agencies like Environment Canada, sustains this balanced trader sentiment ahead of updated model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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