National Weather Service guidance and converging forecast models have positioned an upper-70s high as the most likely outcome for Central Park on September 12, driving the strong market consensus around 76–79°F. Seasonal norms place the long-term average high near 78°F, while current conditions—partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow and moderating maritime influence—support readings in this range rather than significant departures. Model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for 80°F if afternoon clearing strengthens, or slightly cooler values if cloud cover thickens earlier. Traders have concentrated positions accordingly, reflecting the narrow uncertainty window ahead of official observation resolution later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 12 de septiembre?
78-79°F 61%
76-77°F 38%
80-81°F 4%
82-83°F <1%
$29,122 Vol.
$29,122 Vol.
12 sep 2026
69°F o menos
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
61%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 61%
76-77°F 38%
80-81°F 4%
82-83°F <1%
$29,122 Vol.
$29,122 Vol.
12 sep 2026
69°F o menos
$194 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$354 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$711 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,236 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$7,786 Vol.
38%
78-79°F
$7,162 Vol.
61%
80-81°F
$5,970 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$3,215 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$734 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$302 Vol.
<1%
88°F o más
$457 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and converging forecast models have positioned an upper-70s high as the most likely outcome for Central Park on September 12, driving the strong market consensus around 76–79°F. Seasonal norms place the long-term average high near 78°F, while current conditions—partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow and moderating maritime influence—support readings in this range rather than significant departures. Model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for 80°F if afternoon clearing strengthens, or slightly cooler values if cloud cover thickens earlier. Traders have concentrated positions accordingly, reflecting the narrow uncertainty window ahead of official observation resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volumen
$29,122Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and converging forecast models have positioned an upper-70s high as the most likely outcome for Central Park on September 12, driving the strong market consensus around 76–79°F. Seasonal norms place the long-term average high near 78°F, while current conditions—partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow and moderating maritime influence—support readings in this range rather than significant departures. Model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for 80°F if afternoon clearing strengthens, or slightly cooler values if cloud cover thickens earlier. Traders have concentrated positions accordingly, reflecting the narrow uncertainty window ahead of official observation resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$29,122Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and converging forecast models have positioned an upper-70s high as the most likely outcome for Central Park on September 12, driving the strong market consensus around 76–79°F. Seasonal norms place the long-term average high near 78°F, while current conditions—partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow and moderating maritime influence—support readings in this range rather than significant departures. Model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for 80°F if afternoon clearing strengthens, or slightly cooler values if cloud cover thickens earlier. Traders have concentrated positions accordingly, reflecting the narrow uncertainty window ahead of official observation resolution later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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