Current forecast models, including Met Office guidance, indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on September 12 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Mild Atlantic air masses and a ridge of high pressure support temperatures modestly above the 20.5°C climatological average high, while stronger winds and potential afternoon cloud build-up cap further warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 24°C and 30.5% for 23°C, aligns with ensemble outputs showing limited potential for 26°C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 12 de septiembre?
24°C 48%
23°C 34%
25°C 12%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
$11,044 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,044 Vol.
12 sep 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
34%
24°C
48%
25°C
12%
26°C
2%
27°C o más
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 34%
25°C 12%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
$11,044 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,044 Vol.
12 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$259 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,023 Vol.
2%
22°C
$913 Vol.
8%
23°C
$2,378 Vol.
34%
24°C
$2,897 Vol.
48%
25°C
$1,349 Vol.
12%
26°C
$878 Vol.
2%
27°C o más
$625 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including Met Office guidance, indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on September 12 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Mild Atlantic air masses and a ridge of high pressure support temperatures modestly above the 20.5°C climatological average high, while stronger winds and potential afternoon cloud build-up cap further warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 24°C and 30.5% for 23°C, aligns with ensemble outputs showing limited potential for 26°C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$11,044Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including Met Office guidance, indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on September 12 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Mild Atlantic air masses and a ridge of high pressure support temperatures modestly above the 20.5°C climatological average high, while stronger winds and potential afternoon cloud build-up cap further warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 24°C and 30.5% for 23°C, aligns with ensemble outputs showing limited potential for 26°C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,044Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including Met Office guidance, indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on September 12 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Mild Atlantic air masses and a ridge of high pressure support temperatures modestly above the 20.5°C climatological average high, while stronger winds and potential afternoon cloud build-up cap further warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 24°C and 30.5% for 23°C, aligns with ensemble outputs showing limited potential for 26°C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes