Persistent warm and humid conditions, driven by southerly flow and elevated dew points near 75–79°F, are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 13. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for 78–79°F. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where the absence of a strong cold front or significant cloud cover and rain prevents substantial radiational cooling. A realistic scenario that could shift the outcome lower would require unexpected widespread nocturnal rainfall or a sharper wind shift, though current model consensus assigns low odds to such developments before dawn.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 13 de septiembre?
78-79°F 96%
74-75°F 70%
76-77°F 51%
71°F o menos 7%
$577 Vol.
$577 Vol.
13 sep 2026
71°F o menos
7%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
70%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
96%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 96%
74-75°F 70%
76-77°F 51%
71°F o menos 7%
$577 Vol.
$577 Vol.
13 sep 2026
71°F o menos
$0 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$15 Vol.
70%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
51%
78-79°F
$220 Vol.
96%
80-81°F
$343 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
90°F o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm and humid conditions, driven by southerly flow and elevated dew points near 75–79°F, are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 13. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for 78–79°F. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where the absence of a strong cold front or significant cloud cover and rain prevents substantial radiational cooling. A realistic scenario that could shift the outcome lower would require unexpected widespread nocturnal rainfall or a sharper wind shift, though current model consensus assigns low odds to such developments before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volumen
$577Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm and humid conditions, driven by southerly flow and elevated dew points near 75–79°F, are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 13. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for 78–79°F. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where the absence of a strong cold front or significant cloud cover and rain prevents substantial radiational cooling. A realistic scenario that could shift the outcome lower would require unexpected widespread nocturnal rainfall or a sharper wind shift, though current model consensus assigns low odds to such developments before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$577Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm and humid conditions, driven by southerly flow and elevated dew points near 75–79°F, are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 13. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for 78–79°F. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where the absence of a strong cold front or significant cloud cover and rain prevents substantial radiational cooling. A realistic scenario that could shift the outcome lower would require unexpected widespread nocturnal rainfall or a sharper wind shift, though current model consensus assigns low odds to such developments before dawn.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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