Recent forecast consensus from models including those referenced by European meteorological services points to a mild, mostly cloudy September 13 in Amsterdam with westerly flow and periods of light rain moderating daytime heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 20–21°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 42% for 21°C and 29% for 20°C while keeping 22°C or higher at just 17%. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce the chance of stronger warming compared with the 19.5°C climatological average high, though minor model shifts in timing or intensity could still nudge the peak. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will provide the next key data points for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 13 de septiembre?
21°C 42%
20°C 31%
19°C 15%
22°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
15%
20°C
31%
21°C
42%
22°C
15%
23°C
3%
24°C o más
5%
21°C 42%
20°C 31%
19°C 15%
22°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$3 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$158 Vol.
15%
20°C
$33 Vol.
31%
21°C
$35 Vol.
42%
22°C
$4 Vol.
15%
23°C
$10 Vol.
3%
24°C o más
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including those referenced by European meteorological services points to a mild, mostly cloudy September 13 in Amsterdam with westerly flow and periods of light rain moderating daytime heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 20–21°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 42% for 21°C and 29% for 20°C while keeping 22°C or higher at just 17%. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce the chance of stronger warming compared with the 19.5°C climatological average high, though minor model shifts in timing or intensity could still nudge the peak. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$250Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including those referenced by European meteorological services points to a mild, mostly cloudy September 13 in Amsterdam with westerly flow and periods of light rain moderating daytime heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 20–21°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 42% for 21°C and 29% for 20°C while keeping 22°C or higher at just 17%. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce the chance of stronger warming compared with the 19.5°C climatological average high, though minor model shifts in timing or intensity could still nudge the peak. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$250Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including those referenced by European meteorological services points to a mild, mostly cloudy September 13 in Amsterdam with westerly flow and periods of light rain moderating daytime heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 20–21°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 42% for 21°C and 29% for 20°C while keeping 22°C or higher at just 17%. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce the chance of stronger warming compared with the 19.5°C climatological average high, though minor model shifts in timing or intensity could still nudge the peak. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will provide the next key data points for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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