Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate highs near 100°F in Austin on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 42% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow advects warm, moist Gulf air under weak high pressure, promoting strong diurnal heating with mostly sunny skies and light winds limiting mixing. This setup favors temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages 91.6°F but recent years have seen 96–98°F. Differentiation among 98–99°F versus 102–103°F hinges on afternoon cloud cover or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture, which official updates from the National Weather Service will clarify before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 13 de septiembre?
100-101°F 42%
98-99°F 34%
102-103°F 13%
96-97°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108°F o más
1%
100-101°F 42%
98-99°F 34%
102-103°F 13%
96-97°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
89°F o menos
$247 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$217 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$66 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$126 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$645 Vol.
11%
98-99°F
$474 Vol.
34%
100-101°F
$1,347 Vol.
42%
102-103°F
$163 Vol.
13%
104-105°F
$70 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$65 Vol.
1%
108°F o más
$240 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate highs near 100°F in Austin on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 42% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow advects warm, moist Gulf air under weak high pressure, promoting strong diurnal heating with mostly sunny skies and light winds limiting mixing. This setup favors temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages 91.6°F but recent years have seen 96–98°F. Differentiation among 98–99°F versus 102–103°F hinges on afternoon cloud cover or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture, which official updates from the National Weather Service will clarify before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,659Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate highs near 100°F in Austin on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 42% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow advects warm, moist Gulf air under weak high pressure, promoting strong diurnal heating with mostly sunny skies and light winds limiting mixing. This setup favors temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages 91.6°F but recent years have seen 96–98°F. Differentiation among 98–99°F versus 102–103°F hinges on afternoon cloud cover or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture, which official updates from the National Weather Service will clarify before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,659Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate highs near 100°F in Austin on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 42% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow advects warm, moist Gulf air under weak high pressure, promoting strong diurnal heating with mostly sunny skies and light winds limiting mixing. This setup favors temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages 91.6°F but recent years have seen 96–98°F. Differentiation among 98–99°F versus 102–103°F hinges on afternoon cloud cover or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture, which official updates from the National Weather Service will clarify before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes