**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 12 points to highs in the upper 80s to low 90s amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, which limits surface heating and supports the market's leading 90-91°F and 88-89°F buckets.** High humidity and southeast flow off the Atlantic are maintaining elevated dew points near 80°F, while isolated convection and increased cloud fraction reduce peak insolation compared to the clearer, hotter conditions seen earlier in the month. Historical September averages near 89.5°F and recent observations showing diurnal ranges compressed by moisture provide context for why traders assign only modest probability to 92°F-plus outcomes. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings on the 12th will likely refine these probabilities as steering patterns and convective timing become clearer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 12 de septiembre?
90-91°F 50%
88-89°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
86-87°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
79°F o menos
<1%
80-81 °F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98°F o más
<1%
90-91°F 50%
88-89°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
86-87°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
79°F o menos
$127 Vol.
<1%
80-81 °F
$189 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$493 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$375 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$423 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$1,140 Vol.
34%
90-91°F
$1,636 Vol.
50%
92-93°F
$430 Vol.
12%
94-95°F
$586 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$91 Vol.
1%
98°F o más
$257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 12 points to highs in the upper 80s to low 90s amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, which limits surface heating and supports the market's leading 90-91°F and 88-89°F buckets.** High humidity and southeast flow off the Atlantic are maintaining elevated dew points near 80°F, while isolated convection and increased cloud fraction reduce peak insolation compared to the clearer, hotter conditions seen earlier in the month. Historical September averages near 89.5°F and recent observations showing diurnal ranges compressed by moisture provide context for why traders assign only modest probability to 92°F-plus outcomes. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings on the 12th will likely refine these probabilities as steering patterns and convective timing become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,746Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 12 points to highs in the upper 80s to low 90s amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, which limits surface heating and supports the market's leading 90-91°F and 88-89°F buckets.** High humidity and southeast flow off the Atlantic are maintaining elevated dew points near 80°F, while isolated convection and increased cloud fraction reduce peak insolation compared to the clearer, hotter conditions seen earlier in the month. Historical September averages near 89.5°F and recent observations showing diurnal ranges compressed by moisture provide context for why traders assign only modest probability to 92°F-plus outcomes. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings on the 12th will likely refine these probabilities as steering patterns and convective timing become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,746Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 12 points to highs in the upper 80s to low 90s amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, which limits surface heating and supports the market's leading 90-91°F and 88-89°F buckets.** High humidity and southeast flow off the Atlantic are maintaining elevated dew points near 80°F, while isolated convection and increased cloud fraction reduce peak insolation compared to the clearer, hotter conditions seen earlier in the month. Historical September averages near 89.5°F and recent observations showing diurnal ranges compressed by moisture provide context for why traders assign only modest probability to 92°F-plus outcomes. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings on the 12th will likely refine these probabilities as steering patterns and convective timing become clearer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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