**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 27°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100% for that exact outcome.** Current official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show northeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions holding the high near 27°C (81°F), consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Real-time station data and model consensus indicate minimal deviation risk today, as afternoon peaks align closely with this threshold under stable pressure and moderate humidity. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and official recording criteria. Only an unexpected late surge in solar heating or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 28°C or higher before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 11 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 11 de septiembre?
27°C 100.0%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,211 Vol.
$100,211 Vol.
11 sep 2026
25°C o menos
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C o más
No
27°C 100.0%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,211 Vol.
$100,211 Vol.
11 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$10,296 Vol.
No
26°C
$19,833 Vol.
No
27°C
$22,745 Vol.
Sí
28°C
$19,412 Vol.
No
29°C
$15,361 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,669 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,131 Vol.
No
32°C
$912 Vol.
No
33°C
$485 Vol.
No
34°C
$105 Vol.
No
35°C o más
$261 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 27°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100% for that exact outcome.** Current official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show northeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions holding the high near 27°C (81°F), consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Real-time station data and model consensus indicate minimal deviation risk today, as afternoon peaks align closely with this threshold under stable pressure and moderate humidity. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and official recording criteria. Only an unexpected late surge in solar heating or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 28°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$100,211Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 27°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100% for that exact outcome.** Current official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show northeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions holding the high near 27°C (81°F), consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Real-time station data and model consensus indicate minimal deviation risk today, as afternoon peaks align closely with this threshold under stable pressure and moderate humidity. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and official recording criteria. Only an unexpected late surge in solar heating or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 28°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$100,211Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 27°C daily maximum in Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100% for that exact outcome.** Current official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show northeasterly flow and partly cloudy conditions holding the high near 27°C (81°F), consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Real-time station data and model consensus indicate minimal deviation risk today, as afternoon peaks align closely with this threshold under stable pressure and moderate humidity. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and official recording criteria. Only an unexpected late surge in solar heating or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 28°C or higher before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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