Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 11, aligning precisely with seasonal September norms near 31°C and the prevailing northeast monsoon flow that promoted drier air and limited afternoon heating. Traders priced 32°C at 99.8% implied probability because preliminary and final HKO data left minimal room for deviation, consistent with historical maxima rarely exceeding 33–34°C without stronger synoptic drivers. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential post-processing revisions at specific stations or microclimate discrepancies, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary values stabilize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 11 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 11 de septiembre?
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C o menos <1%
27°C <1%
$111,237 Vol.
$111,237 Vol.
11 sep 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o más
<1%
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C o menos <1%
27°C <1%
$111,237 Vol.
$111,237 Vol.
11 sep 2026
26°C o menos
$265 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$19,467 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,251 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,789 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$20,940 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$16,005 Vol.
100%
33°C
$26,126 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,661 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
36°C o más
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 11, aligning precisely with seasonal September norms near 31°C and the prevailing northeast monsoon flow that promoted drier air and limited afternoon heating. Traders priced 32°C at 99.8% implied probability because preliminary and final HKO data left minimal room for deviation, consistent with historical maxima rarely exceeding 33–34°C without stronger synoptic drivers. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential post-processing revisions at specific stations or microclimate discrepancies, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary values stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$111,237Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 11, aligning precisely with seasonal September norms near 31°C and the prevailing northeast monsoon flow that promoted drier air and limited afternoon heating. Traders priced 32°C at 99.8% implied probability because preliminary and final HKO data left minimal room for deviation, consistent with historical maxima rarely exceeding 33–34°C without stronger synoptic drivers. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential post-processing revisions at specific stations or microclimate discrepancies, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary values stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$111,237Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 11, aligning precisely with seasonal September norms near 31°C and the prevailing northeast monsoon flow that promoted drier air and limited afternoon heating. Traders priced 32°C at 99.8% implied probability because preliminary and final HKO data left minimal room for deviation, consistent with historical maxima rarely exceeding 33–34°C without stronger synoptic drivers. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential post-processing revisions at specific stations or microclimate discrepancies, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary values stabilize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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