**Consensus forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models position 23°C as the most likely daily maximum for Chengdu on September 12, 2026.** Persistent overcast skies, northeasterly winds under 3 m/s, and high humidity near 80–90% have limited daytime heating following recent rainfall that cooled regional temperatures. Official guidance and ensemble runs cluster the peak between 22–24°C, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C at 67.5%. Light precipitation chances later in the day introduce modest uncertainty around the exact hourly high, while historical September baselines near 26°C underscore how current cloud cover and moisture are suppressing the typical maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 12 de septiembre?
23°C 70%
22°C 16%
24°C 6%
25°C 4%
$35,220 Vol.
$35,220 Vol.
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
16%
23°C
70%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
23°C 70%
22°C 16%
24°C 6%
25°C 4%
$35,220 Vol.
$35,220 Vol.
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
16%
23°C
70%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Consensus forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models position 23°C as the most likely daily maximum for Chengdu on September 12, 2026.** Persistent overcast skies, northeasterly winds under 3 m/s, and high humidity near 80–90% have limited daytime heating following recent rainfall that cooled regional temperatures. Official guidance and ensemble runs cluster the peak between 22–24°C, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C at 67.5%. Light precipitation chances later in the day introduce modest uncertainty around the exact hourly high, while historical September baselines near 26°C underscore how current cloud cover and moisture are suppressing the typical maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes