Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high near 22–23°C for Istanbul on September 14, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating following earlier warmer conditions. This aligns with the seasonal September average maximum of 23°C while reflecting a modest cooling of several degrees from the prior weekend's peaks near 29–30°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, with 25–36% probability in many runs, add further moderation through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though minor shifts in timing or wind strength could adjust the exact peak; final official readings will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 14 de septiembre?
22°C 66%
23°C 19%
21°C 15%
24°C 2%
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
15%
22°C
66%
23°C
19%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
22°C 66%
23°C 19%
21°C 15%
24°C 2%
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
15%
22°C
66%
23°C
19%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high near 22–23°C for Istanbul on September 14, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating following earlier warmer conditions. This aligns with the seasonal September average maximum of 23°C while reflecting a modest cooling of several degrees from the prior weekend's peaks near 29–30°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, with 25–36% probability in many runs, add further moderation through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though minor shifts in timing or wind strength could adjust the exact peak; final official readings will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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