Forecast models indicate a transitional autumn pattern over Istanbul on September 14, with northerly winds and scattered showers limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum near 16–19 °C. Recent cooling of several degrees from mid-September norms, driven by a passing frontal system, supports the near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes. Key variables include cloud cover duration, which reduces heat loss, versus clear-sky potential for stronger drops, plus wind speed that mixes the boundary layer. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs overnight will refine the precise low, while historical September minima cluster around 17 °C. Traders appear pricing genuine forecast spread rather than directional bias.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 14 de septiembre?
14°C o menos 75%
24°C o más 75%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
14°C o menos
75%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
31%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C o más
75%
14°C o menos 75%
24°C o más 75%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$0 Vol.
75%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$5 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C o más
$0 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a transitional autumn pattern over Istanbul on September 14, with northerly winds and scattered showers limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum near 16–19 °C. Recent cooling of several degrees from mid-September norms, driven by a passing frontal system, supports the near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes. Key variables include cloud cover duration, which reduces heat loss, versus clear-sky potential for stronger drops, plus wind speed that mixes the boundary layer. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs overnight will refine the precise low, while historical September minima cluster around 17 °C. Traders appear pricing genuine forecast spread rather than directional bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$5Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a transitional autumn pattern over Istanbul on September 14, with northerly winds and scattered showers limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum near 16–19 °C. Recent cooling of several degrees from mid-September norms, driven by a passing frontal system, supports the near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes. Key variables include cloud cover duration, which reduces heat loss, versus clear-sky potential for stronger drops, plus wind speed that mixes the boundary layer. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs overnight will refine the precise low, while historical September minima cluster around 17 °C. Traders appear pricing genuine forecast spread rather than directional bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate a transitional autumn pattern over Istanbul on September 14, with northerly winds and scattered showers limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum near 16–19 °C. Recent cooling of several degrees from mid-September norms, driven by a passing frontal system, supports the near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes. Key variables include cloud cover duration, which reduces heat loss, versus clear-sky potential for stronger drops, plus wind speed that mixes the boundary layer. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs overnight will refine the precise low, while historical September minima cluster around 17 °C. Traders appear pricing genuine forecast spread rather than directional bias.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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