**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–20°C for Istanbul’s daily minimum on September 13, 2026, reflecting model consensus on overnight cooling under northerly flow and increasing cloud cover.** Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and GFS guidance indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C giving way to a low of roughly 17–21°C (63–70°F) by early morning, consistent with seasonal norms of about 16°C minimum. Light showers or drizzle expected after 18:00 local time and sustained northerly winds of 10–15 mph are limiting further radiative cooling while keeping surface temperatures above the 15°C threshold that would otherwise appear in clearer, calmer conditions. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C against the possibility of slightly stronger cooling if cloud cover remains broken overnight; upcoming evening observations from local stations will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 13 de septiembre?
15°C o menos 98%
17°C 98%
18°C 92%
21°C <1%
$444 Vol.
$444 Vol.
13 sep 2026
15°C o menos
98%
16°C
-
17°C
98%
18°C
92%
19°C
51%
20°C
-
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
15°C o menos 98%
17°C 98%
18°C 92%
21°C <1%
$444 Vol.
$444 Vol.
13 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$0 Vol.
98%
16°C
$88 Vol.
-
17°C
$132 Vol.
98%
18°C
$157 Vol.
92%
19°C
$7 Vol.
51%
20°C
$9 Vol.
-
21°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–20°C for Istanbul’s daily minimum on September 13, 2026, reflecting model consensus on overnight cooling under northerly flow and increasing cloud cover.** Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and GFS guidance indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C giving way to a low of roughly 17–21°C (63–70°F) by early morning, consistent with seasonal norms of about 16°C minimum. Light showers or drizzle expected after 18:00 local time and sustained northerly winds of 10–15 mph are limiting further radiative cooling while keeping surface temperatures above the 15°C threshold that would otherwise appear in clearer, calmer conditions. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C against the possibility of slightly stronger cooling if cloud cover remains broken overnight; upcoming evening observations from local stations will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$444Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–20°C for Istanbul’s daily minimum on September 13, 2026, reflecting model consensus on overnight cooling under northerly flow and increasing cloud cover.** Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and GFS guidance indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C giving way to a low of roughly 17–21°C (63–70°F) by early morning, consistent with seasonal norms of about 16°C minimum. Light showers or drizzle expected after 18:00 local time and sustained northerly winds of 10–15 mph are limiting further radiative cooling while keeping surface temperatures above the 15°C threshold that would otherwise appear in clearer, calmer conditions. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C against the possibility of slightly stronger cooling if cloud cover remains broken overnight; upcoming evening observations from local stations will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$444Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–20°C for Istanbul’s daily minimum on September 13, 2026, reflecting model consensus on overnight cooling under northerly flow and increasing cloud cover.** Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and GFS guidance indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C giving way to a low of roughly 17–21°C (63–70°F) by early morning, consistent with seasonal norms of about 16°C minimum. Light showers or drizzle expected after 18:00 local time and sustained northerly winds of 10–15 mph are limiting further radiative cooling while keeping surface temperatures above the 15°C threshold that would otherwise appear in clearer, calmer conditions. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C against the possibility of slightly stronger cooling if cloud cover remains broken overnight; upcoming evening observations from local stations will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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