**Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–33°C for Guangzhou on September 13, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (60–90% probability), and light easterly winds limiting afternoon heating.** These conditions align with the market’s tight spread between 33°C (37.5%) and 34°C (34.5%), reflecting uncertainty over the precise timing and intensity of convective activity that could briefly allow stronger insolation or suppress it further. Persistent monsoon moisture and high humidity are suppressing temperatures relative to clearer-sky analogs, keeping the outlook close to the 32.2°C climatological average high. Updated model runs and any breaks in cloud cover ahead of the daily peak will be the key variables influencing final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 13 de septiembre?
33°C 38%
34°C 32%
32°C 19%
31°C 7%
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
19%
33°C
38%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C o más
1%
33°C 38%
34°C 32%
32°C 19%
31°C 7%
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
19%
33°C
38%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–33°C for Guangzhou on September 13, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (60–90% probability), and light easterly winds limiting afternoon heating.** These conditions align with the market’s tight spread between 33°C (37.5%) and 34°C (34.5%), reflecting uncertainty over the precise timing and intensity of convective activity that could briefly allow stronger insolation or suppress it further. Persistent monsoon moisture and high humidity are suppressing temperatures relative to clearer-sky analogs, keeping the outlook close to the 32.2°C climatological average high. Updated model runs and any breaks in cloud cover ahead of the daily peak will be the key variables influencing final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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