**Current forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS consensus point to a daily maximum of 26–28°C in Tokyo on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and only isolated morning drizzle.** This range aligns closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27°C (41.5%) and 26°C (26.0%), followed by 28°C (15.5%). Persistent cloud cover and rainfall through September 12 have moderated temperatures after earlier warmth, but a gradual clearing trend and southerly flow on the 13th support modest warming without pushing into the low 30s. Historical September climatology shows average daily maxima near 27–28°C, providing context for why traders see little probability mass below 25°C or above 29°C. Official resolution will use the Japan Meteorological Agency’s recorded maximum at the Tokyo station, so any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or wind direction could shift the exact value within the narrow 26–28°C band that dominates current implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 13 de septiembre?
27°C 42%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
29°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
26%
27°C
42%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C o más
2%
27°C 42%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
29°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$1,353 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$279 Vol.
2%
24°C
$68 Vol.
4%
25°C
$399 Vol.
6%
26°C
$605 Vol.
26%
27°C
$1,362 Vol.
42%
28°C
$1,265 Vol.
16%
29°C
$92 Vol.
6%
30°C
$86 Vol.
3%
31°C o más
$224 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS consensus point to a daily maximum of 26–28°C in Tokyo on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and only isolated morning drizzle.** This range aligns closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27°C (41.5%) and 26°C (26.0%), followed by 28°C (15.5%).
Persistent cloud cover and rainfall through September 12 have moderated temperatures after earlier warmth, but a gradual clearing trend and southerly flow on the 13th support modest warming without pushing into the low 30s. Historical September climatology shows average daily maxima near 27–28°C, providing context for why traders see little probability mass below 25°C or above 29°C. Official resolution will use the Japan Meteorological Agency’s recorded maximum at the Tokyo station, so any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or wind direction could shift the exact value within the narrow 26–28°C band that dominates current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,858Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS consensus point to a daily maximum of 26–28°C in Tokyo on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and only isolated morning drizzle.** This range aligns closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27°C (41.5%) and 26°C (26.0%), followed by 28°C (15.5%).
Persistent cloud cover and rainfall through September 12 have moderated temperatures after earlier warmth, but a gradual clearing trend and southerly flow on the 13th support modest warming without pushing into the low 30s. Historical September climatology shows average daily maxima near 27–28°C, providing context for why traders see little probability mass below 25°C or above 29°C. Official resolution will use the Japan Meteorological Agency’s recorded maximum at the Tokyo station, so any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or wind direction could shift the exact value within the narrow 26–28°C band that dominates current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,858Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS consensus point to a daily maximum of 26–28°C in Tokyo on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and only isolated morning drizzle.** This range aligns closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27°C (41.5%) and 26°C (26.0%), followed by 28°C (15.5%). Persistent cloud cover and rainfall through September 12 have moderated temperatures after earlier warmth, but a gradual clearing trend and southerly flow on the 13th support modest warming without pushing into the low 30s. Historical September climatology shows average daily maxima near 27–28°C, providing context for why traders see little probability mass below 25°C or above 29°C. Official resolution will use the Japan Meteorological Agency’s recorded maximum at the Tokyo station, so any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or wind direction could shift the exact value within the narrow 26–28°C band that dominates current implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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