Forecast models from GFS and European centers show a high-pressure ridge over western Europe maintaining subsidence and light westerly flow, supporting a Paris maximum near 26°C on September 13 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with current 1025 hPa surface readings and 850 hPa temperatures favoring modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 September 13 average of 21.9°C. Ensemble consensus clusters tightly around 25–27°C, with limited spread from Atlantic moisture or cloud cover variations, while longer-range seasonal signals of above-normal warmth provide background support without overriding the short-term pattern. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 13 de septiembre?
26°C 41%
25°C 24%
27°C 24%
28°C 7%
$11,489 Vol.
$11,489 Vol.
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
24%
26°C
41%
27°C
24%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 24%
27°C 24%
28°C 7%
$11,489 Vol.
$11,489 Vol.
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
24%
26°C
41%
27°C
24%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from GFS and European centers show a high-pressure ridge over western Europe maintaining subsidence and light westerly flow, supporting a Paris maximum near 26°C on September 13 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with current 1025 hPa surface readings and 850 hPa temperatures favoring modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 September 13 average of 21.9°C. Ensemble consensus clusters tightly around 25–27°C, with limited spread from Atlantic moisture or cloud cover variations, while longer-range seasonal signals of above-normal warmth provide background support without overriding the short-term pattern. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes