**Trader consensus heavily favors a 32°C high in Ankara on September 12 due to consistent numerical weather model outputs and real-time observations showing peak afternoon temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under clear skies and light westerly winds.** Multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate maximum values of 31–33°C (approximately 88–91°F) with minimal cloud cover and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating. Historical September baselines for the region average around 27–29°C, making this a modestly above-normal but well-forecast event. The market-implied odds reflect high confidence in official station readings from the Turkish Meteorological Service aligning with this range. Only an unexpected late-day surge in cloudiness or a rapid frontal passage could shift the outcome, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 12 de septiembre?
32°C 100.0%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$30,887 Vol.
$30,887 Vol.
12 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
32°C 100.0%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$30,887 Vol.
$30,887 Vol.
12 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$188 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,460 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,142 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$9,377 Vol.
100%
33°C
$6,015 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,394 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$986 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 32°C high in Ankara on September 12 due to consistent numerical weather model outputs and real-time observations showing peak afternoon temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under clear skies and light westerly winds.** Multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate maximum values of 31–33°C (approximately 88–91°F) with minimal cloud cover and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating. Historical September baselines for the region average around 27–29°C, making this a modestly above-normal but well-forecast event. The market-implied odds reflect high confidence in official station readings from the Turkish Meteorological Service aligning with this range. Only an unexpected late-day surge in cloudiness or a rapid frontal passage could shift the outcome, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$30,887Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 32°C high in Ankara on September 12 due to consistent numerical weather model outputs and real-time observations showing peak afternoon temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under clear skies and light westerly winds.** Multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate maximum values of 31–33°C (approximately 88–91°F) with minimal cloud cover and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating. Historical September baselines for the region average around 27–29°C, making this a modestly above-normal but well-forecast event. The market-implied odds reflect high confidence in official station readings from the Turkish Meteorological Service aligning with this range. Only an unexpected late-day surge in cloudiness or a rapid frontal passage could shift the outcome, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$30,887Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 32°C high in Ankara on September 12 due to consistent numerical weather model outputs and real-time observations showing peak afternoon temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under clear skies and light westerly winds.** Multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate maximum values of 31–33°C (approximately 88–91°F) with minimal cloud cover and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating. Historical September baselines for the region average around 27–29°C, making this a modestly above-normal but well-forecast event. The market-implied odds reflect high confidence in official station readings from the Turkish Meteorological Service aligning with this range. Only an unexpected late-day surge in cloudiness or a rapid frontal passage could shift the outcome, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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