Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to westerly flow over central Turkey, advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating after recent 32–33°C highs. This supports a Monday maximum near 26°C for Ankara, aligning with the market’s leading 45.5% implied probability for that outcome and the combined 52% chance for 25–27°C. Ensemble spreads and local variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the tight clustering around these values, while probabilities drop sharply above 28°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected before resolution will refine the final peak reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 14 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 14 de septiembre?
26°C 45%
27°C 27%
25°C 25%
28°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
22°C o menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
25%
26°C
45%
27°C
27%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
26°C 45%
27°C 27%
25°C 25%
28°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$215 Vol.
1%
23°C
$207 Vol.
1%
24°C
$238 Vol.
1%
25°C
$947 Vol.
25%
26°C
$449 Vol.
45%
27°C
$622 Vol.
27%
28°C
$266 Vol.
5%
29°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to westerly flow over central Turkey, advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating after recent 32–33°C highs. This supports a Monday maximum near 26°C for Ankara, aligning with the market’s leading 45.5% implied probability for that outcome and the combined 52% chance for 25–27°C. Ensemble spreads and local variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the tight clustering around these values, while probabilities drop sharply above 28°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected before resolution will refine the final peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,514Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to westerly flow over central Turkey, advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating after recent 32–33°C highs. This supports a Monday maximum near 26°C for Ankara, aligning with the market’s leading 45.5% implied probability for that outcome and the combined 52% chance for 25–27°C. Ensemble spreads and local variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the tight clustering around these values, while probabilities drop sharply above 28°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected before resolution will refine the final peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,514Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to westerly flow over central Turkey, advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating after recent 32–33°C highs. This supports a Monday maximum near 26°C for Ankara, aligning with the market’s leading 45.5% implied probability for that outcome and the combined 52% chance for 25–27°C. Ensemble spreads and local variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the tight clustering around these values, while probabilities drop sharply above 28°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected before resolution will refine the final peak reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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