Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to a September 14 overnight low in Shenzhen near 23–26 °C amid lingering moisture from prior showers and moderate easterly flow. High humidity near 90 % and variable cloud cover are limiting radiational cooling, while steering patterns keep the region under subtropical influence with daytime highs around 30–32 °C. Trader sentiment remains split because small forecast shifts in dew-point depression or timing of any late-day clearing could easily move the minimum across several degree thresholds, with fresh model guidance and official updates expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 14 de septiembre?
21°C o menos 61%
23°C 40%
22°C 39%
31°C o superior 32%
21°C o menos
61%
22°C
39%
23°C
40%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C o superior
32%
21°C o menos 61%
23°C 40%
22°C 39%
31°C o superior 32%
21°C o menos
61%
22°C
39%
23°C
40%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C o superior
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to a September 14 overnight low in Shenzhen near 23–26 °C amid lingering moisture from prior showers and moderate easterly flow. High humidity near 90 % and variable cloud cover are limiting radiational cooling, while steering patterns keep the region under subtropical influence with daytime highs around 30–32 °C. Trader sentiment remains split because small forecast shifts in dew-point depression or timing of any late-day clearing could easily move the minimum across several degree thresholds, with fresh model guidance and official updates expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes