Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a hot, sunny day in Dallas on September 12 with highs centered near 100°F, driven by strong solar heating under clear skies, southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and dew points in the low 70s that limit afternoon cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 100-101°F bin at 35% implied probability, while the close 98-99°F and 102-103°F outcomes reflect typical forecast spread from variables like exact cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing. Above the September climatological average of roughly 91°F, the outcome hinges on final National Weather Service observations, with limited precipitation risk keeping temperatures elevated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 12 de septiembre?
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 23%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 5%
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
2%
108°F o más
<1%
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 23%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 5%
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
2%
108°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a hot, sunny day in Dallas on September 12 with highs centered near 100°F, driven by strong solar heating under clear skies, southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and dew points in the low 70s that limit afternoon cooling. This setup favors the market's leading 100-101°F bin at 35% implied probability, while the close 98-99°F and 102-103°F outcomes reflect typical forecast spread from variables like exact cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing. Above the September climatological average of roughly 91°F, the outcome hinges on final National Weather Service observations, with limited precipitation risk keeping temperatures elevated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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