Warm overnight conditions in Houston on September 15, 2026, driven by high dew points near 75–78°F, light southeast winds, and mostly clear skies limited radiative cooling and kept the daily minimum elevated. National Weather Service and local observations indicated a low near 80–81°F under a persistent warm, humid air mass with heat indices above 105°F during the day. This setup aligned closely with the 78–79°F outcome, which traders priced at 86% implied probability. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore the anomaly, while the absence of frontal passages or stronger northerly flow reduced chances for cooler readings in the 71–75°F range. Updated model consensus and preliminary station data from Hobby and Intercontinental airports reinforced this positioning ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 15 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 15 de septiembre?
78-79°F 98%
71°F o menos 71%
74-75°F 70%
72-73°F 69%
$1,043 Vol.
$1,043 Vol.
15 sep 2026
71°F o menos
71%
72-73°F
69%
74-75°F
70%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
92%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más alta
<1%
78-79°F 98%
71°F o menos 71%
74-75°F 70%
72-73°F 69%
$1,043 Vol.
$1,043 Vol.
15 sep 2026
71°F o menos
$0 Vol.
71%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
69%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
70%
76-77°F
$80 Vol.
20%
78-79°F
$124 Vol.
92%
80-81°F
$708 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$82 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$16 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$16 Vol.
<1%
90°F o más alta
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm overnight conditions in Houston on September 15, 2026, driven by high dew points near 75–78°F, light southeast winds, and mostly clear skies limited radiative cooling and kept the daily minimum elevated. National Weather Service and local observations indicated a low near 80–81°F under a persistent warm, humid air mass with heat indices above 105°F during the day. This setup aligned closely with the 78–79°F outcome, which traders priced at 86% implied probability. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore the anomaly, while the absence of frontal passages or stronger northerly flow reduced chances for cooler readings in the 71–75°F range. Updated model consensus and preliminary station data from Hobby and Intercontinental airports reinforced this positioning ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$1,043Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm overnight conditions in Houston on September 15, 2026, driven by high dew points near 75–78°F, light southeast winds, and mostly clear skies limited radiative cooling and kept the daily minimum elevated. National Weather Service and local observations indicated a low near 80–81°F under a persistent warm, humid air mass with heat indices above 105°F during the day. This setup aligned closely with the 78–79°F outcome, which traders priced at 86% implied probability. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore the anomaly, while the absence of frontal passages or stronger northerly flow reduced chances for cooler readings in the 71–75°F range. Updated model consensus and preliminary station data from Hobby and Intercontinental airports reinforced this positioning ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,043Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Warm overnight conditions in Houston on September 15, 2026, driven by high dew points near 75–78°F, light southeast winds, and mostly clear skies limited radiative cooling and kept the daily minimum elevated. National Weather Service and local observations indicated a low near 80–81°F under a persistent warm, humid air mass with heat indices above 105°F during the day. This setup aligned closely with the 78–79°F outcome, which traders priced at 86% implied probability. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore the anomaly, while the absence of frontal passages or stronger northerly flow reduced chances for cooler readings in the 71–75°F range. Updated model consensus and preliminary station data from Hobby and Intercontinental airports reinforced this positioning ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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