Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate the lowest temperature in Dallas on September 17 will likely fall in the low 80s, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 61.5% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and mostly clear skies are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under a warm air mass, consistent with recent observations and climatological norms for mid-September. Model consensus shows little deviation, with overnight lows projected around 79-83°F and no significant frontal passage expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against lower-probability cooler scenarios.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 17 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 17 de septiembre?
71°F o menos 100%
72-73°F 93%
76-77°F 93%
74-75°F 92%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
71°F o menos
100%
72-73°F
93%
74-75°F
92%
76-77°F
93%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
69%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
71°F o menos 100%
72-73°F 93%
76-77°F 93%
74-75°F 92%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
71°F o menos
$0 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
93%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
92%
76-77°F
$15 Vol.
93%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
48%
80-81°F
$3 Vol.
48%
82-83°F
$26 Vol.
69%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
48%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
90°F o más
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate the lowest temperature in Dallas on September 17 will likely fall in the low 80s, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 61.5% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and mostly clear skies are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under a warm air mass, consistent with recent observations and climatological norms for mid-September. Model consensus shows little deviation, with overnight lows projected around 79-83°F and no significant frontal passage expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against lower-probability cooler scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$81Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate the lowest temperature in Dallas on September 17 will likely fall in the low 80s, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 61.5% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and mostly clear skies are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under a warm air mass, consistent with recent observations and climatological norms for mid-September. Model consensus shows little deviation, with overnight lows projected around 79-83°F and no significant frontal passage expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against lower-probability cooler scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$81Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate the lowest temperature in Dallas on September 17 will likely fall in the low 80s, aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 61.5% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and mostly clear skies are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under a warm air mass, consistent with recent observations and climatological norms for mid-September. Model consensus shows little deviation, with overnight lows projected around 79-83°F and no significant frontal passage expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against lower-probability cooler scenarios.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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