Current National Weather Service and private forecast models show Houston under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds through September 21, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s amid typical late-summer humidity. This setup favors 94–95°F as the most likely daily maximum, aligning with the 55.5% market-implied probability, while 96–97°F receives secondary support at 22.5%. Limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture keep higher outcomes below 10% probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast window and historical September climatology near 90–92°F averages, with any late adjustments in model runs or observed dew points likely to shift the tight 92–97°F range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 21 de septiembre?
94-95°F 55%
92-93°F 24%
96-97°F 24%
98-99°F 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
85°F o menos
4%
86-87 °F
5%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
55%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
5%
104°F o más
5%
94-95°F 55%
92-93°F 24%
96-97°F 24%
98-99°F 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
85°F o menos
$0 Vol.
4%
86-87 °F
$0 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
11%
92-93°F
$9 Vol.
23%
94-95°F
$737 Vol.
55%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
24%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
19%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
11%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
5%
104°F o más
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecast models show Houston under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds through September 21, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s amid typical late-summer humidity. This setup favors 94–95°F as the most likely daily maximum, aligning with the 55.5% market-implied probability, while 96–97°F receives secondary support at 22.5%. Limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture keep higher outcomes below 10% probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast window and historical September climatology near 90–92°F averages, with any late adjustments in model runs or observed dew points likely to shift the tight 92–97°F range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$746Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecast models show Houston under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds through September 21, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s amid typical late-summer humidity. This setup favors 94–95°F as the most likely daily maximum, aligning with the 55.5% market-implied probability, while 96–97°F receives secondary support at 22.5%. Limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture keep higher outcomes below 10% probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast window and historical September climatology near 90–92°F averages, with any late adjustments in model runs or observed dew points likely to shift the tight 92–97°F range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$746Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private forecast models show Houston under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds through September 21, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s amid typical late-summer humidity. This setup favors 94–95°F as the most likely daily maximum, aligning with the 55.5% market-implied probability, while 96–97°F receives secondary support at 22.5%. Limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts or tropical moisture keep higher outcomes below 10% probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast window and historical September climatology near 90–92°F averages, with any late adjustments in model runs or observed dew points likely to shift the tight 92–97°F range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes